Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2924.208511 3161.212004 3401.419548 3662.780584 3938.815808 4221.357978 4532.092883
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2573.949019 2929.791581 3303.896870 3725.282314 4185.456120 4671.500543 5222.426872
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2294.759370 2716.908941 3173.164113 3700.398886 4290.277531 4927.375116 5664.898958
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2145.778333 2623.849512 3152.274414 3775.516431 4486.222039 5267.218273 6186.031075
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1994.577315 2512.037680 3095.771575 3796.958741 4610.123740 5517.321430 6599.592853
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1856.503990 2403.447718 3032.193170 3800.193958 4704.504758 5727.126002 6962.272103
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1675.647707 2231.851962 2883.720627 3693.565281 4661.787503 5771.457123 7128.122284
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1632.114068 2222.430032 2924.680186 3808.475756 4877.361364 6114.778866 7641.368474
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1573.385853 2189.673145 2933.631620 3881.764627 5041.273767 6396.580774 8083.049246
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1484.553158 2113.748208 2884.954168 3880.642268 5112.228242 6565.919972 8390.582670
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1391.327217 2027.085071 2818.318004 3853.086730 5147.402295 6689.785803 8642.152962
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1334.299359 1984.257059 2804.179149 3888.653577 5258.428896 6904.282055 9002.792860
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1261.538352 1918.409820 2759.283925 3885.048343 5321.824710 7063.360538 9300.905095
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1222.351828 1895.765195 2768.958600 3950.388664 5471.789095 7329.798145 9732.610408
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1149.527115 1823.469190 2710.227724 3924.392910 5503.751682 7448.758290 9982.345195
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1122.491747 1813.034472 2732.290443 4002.863279 5668.698379 7733.657024 10438.664944
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1076.323117 1773.307307 2713.039536 4025.259475 5760.413311 7926.440427 10780.946366
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1026.293354 1725.635694 2680.883371 4028.638493 5826.107932 8085.722989 11081.437468
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 939.621223 1620.690447 2566.157012 3917.253424 5738.189133 8046.953796 11130.116776
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 936.075562 1638.125679 2621.672611 4037.288263 5956.373066 8401.142886 11679.038203
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 918.538796 1633.615945 2645.645171 4113.824495 6117.011256 8682.206792 12136.650253
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 877.281159 1591.272240 2614.299558 4112.652526 6172.832741 8827.413731 12420.883371
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 829.903972 1537.367998 2564.418896 4083.877813 6190.045531 8921.498814 12639.095908